Buffalo Bills
2025 Season · Through Week 18 · Updated Mar 28, 2026
Buffalo Bills
12-5AFC·AFC East
3rdinOff EPA(+0.123)14thinDef EPA(-0.015)
Passing Attack
The passing offense ranks 4th in EPA/play (+0.171) through Week 18.
J.Allen16 GP · 547 DB
EPA/DB
+0.17
CPOE
+3.51
Success%
52.5%
Passer Rtg
102.4
| Pos | Name | Tgt | Rec | Yards | TD | Tgt Share | EPA/Tgt | YPRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | K.Shakir | 95 | 72 | 686 | 4 | 19.8% | +0.10 | 2.12 |
| WR | K.Coleman | 59 | 38 | 404 | 4 | 12.3% | +0.22 | 1.50 |
| TE | D.Knox | 49 | 36 | 417 | 4 | 10.2% | +0.34 | 1.56 |
| TE | D.Kincaid | 49 | 39 | 571 | 5 | 10.2% | +0.82 | 3.21 |
| RB | J.Cook | 40 | 33 | 291 | 2 | 8.4% | +0.22 | 1.24 |
| WR | J.Palmer | 37 | 22 | 303 | 0 | 7.7% | +0.18 | 1.52 |
| RB | Ty.Johnson | 33 | 24 | 231 | 2 | 6.9% | +0.35 | 1.15 |
| WR | T.Shavers | 23 | 15 | 245 | 1 | 4.8% | +0.53 | 1.37 |
| TE | J.Hawes | 19 | 16 | 187 | 3 | 4.0% | +0.78 | 1.63 |
| WR | G.Davis | 18 | 12 | 129 | 1 | 3.8% | +0.57 | 1.16 |
| WR | E.Moore | 17 | 9 | 112 | 0 | 3.5% | -0.23 | 1.33 |
| RB | R.Davis | 13 | 10 | 86 | 2 | 2.7% | +0.43 | 1.37 |
| WR | C.Samuel | 9 | 7 | 81 | 1 | 1.9% | +0.98 | 1.08 |
| TE | K.Latu | 4 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0.8% | +1.33 | 0.92 |
| RB | R.Gilliam | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0.4% | +0.43 | 0.52 |
| WR | M.Hardman | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2% | -0.51 | 0.00 |
Ground Game
The rush offense ranks 2nd in EPA (+0.075), running through the RE gap most effectively through Week 18.
EPA by Run Gap
| Name | Carries | Yds/Carry | EPA/Carry | Success% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Cook | 309 | 5.2 | +0.02 | 45.6% |
| R.Davis | 58 | 4.7 | +0.02 | 41.4% |
| Ty.Johnson | 50 | 4.0 | +0.06 | 50.0% |
| J.Allen | 42 | 4.1 | +0.72 | 73.8% |
| E.Moore | 6 | 4.0 | -0.00 | 50.0% |
| R.Gilliam | 2 | 2.0 | -0.13 | 50.0% |
| K.Shakir | 1 | 5.0 | -0.11 | 0.0% |
Rushing by Down & Distance
| Down | 1-2 yds | 3-4 yds | 5-7 yds | 8-10 yds | 11+ yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | -0.66 8 car(NFL: 0.03) | 0.22 4 car | 0.15 5 car(NFL: 0.10) | -0.00 258 car(NFL: -0.08) | -0.16 4 car |
| 2nd | 0.24 28 car(NFL: 0.03) | 0.38 35 car(NFL: -0.01) | -0.11 34 car(NFL: -0.02) | -0.10 27 car(NFL: -0.15) | 0.13 4 car |
| 3rd | 0.18 40 car(NFL: 0.03) | 0.52 9 car(NFL: 0.07) | 0.57 5 car(NFL: -0.16) | 3.09 1 car | 0.53 1 car |
| 4th | 0.22 9 car(NFL: 0.53) | — | — | — | — |
PoorBreak-even (0.00)EliteDashed = <5 carriesNFL avg rush EPA ~-0.06
Situational Efficiency
All Plays
Overall offensive efficiency
3rd
1056 plays
+0.14
EPA/Play
SR: 49%
Pass%: 51%
Run
+0.11
Pass
+0.17
Early Downs
1st & 2nd down
3rd
819 plays
+0.12
EPA/Play
SR: 49%
Pass%: 46%
Run
+0.06
Pass
+0.19
Passing Downs
2nd & 7+ or 3rd & 5+
4th
301 plays
+0.17
EPA/Play
SR: 45%
Pass%: 78%
Run
+0.33
Pass
+0.12
Short Yardage
3rd/4th & 2 or less
18th
74 plays
+0.11
EPA/Play
SR: 64%
Pass%: 32%
Run
+0.21
Pass
-0.08
Red Zone
Inside the 20
5th
190 plays
+0.13
EPA/Play
SR: 49%
Pass%: 42%
Run
+0.12
Pass
+0.14
Goal Line
Inside the 5
12th
62 plays
+0.11
EPA/Play
SR: 50%
Pass%: 31%
Run
+0.05
Pass
+0.27
Late & Close
WP 25-75%, last 15 min
6th
70 plays
+0.16
EPA/Play
SR: 47%
Pass%: 63%
Run
+0.12
Pass
+0.19
Defense
Def EPA/Play
-0.015
14thDef Pass EPA
-0.113
6thDef Rush EPA
+0.094
31stDef Success Rate
42.2%
12thRun Defense by Gap
Opponents target the M gap most (94 carries). Best defended: RT (-0.120 EPA/carry).
LE
50 car+0.28
LT
55 car+0.03
LG
62 car+0.09
M
94 car+0.04
RG
65 car+0.03
RT
51 car-0.12
RE
34 car+0.18
